Volatility
Definition
A statistical measure of how much a security's price fluctuates over time. High volatility means rapid, large price swings.
Detailed Explanation
Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index. In simpler terms, it describes how much and how quickly the price of an asset moves up and down. High volatility means the price can change dramatically in a short period, while low volatility indicates more stable, gradual price movements.
Volatility is often measured using standard deviation, which quantifies how much prices deviate from their average. The VIX index, sometimes called the "fear gauge," measures expected volatility in the S&P 500 over the next 30 days based on options prices. A high VIX indicates that traders expect large price swings.
Several factors can increase volatility. Economic uncertainty, geopolitical events, earnings surprises, changes in interest rates, and unexpected news can all cause sharp price movements. Individual stocks can also be more volatile than others based on their industry, company size, trading volume, and business model.
For investors, volatility represents both risk and opportunity. Conservative investors may avoid highly volatile stocks because the potential for large losses can be unsettling and may not fit their investment timeline. However, active traders often seek out volatile stocks because large price swings create opportunities for quick profits.
Understanding your tolerance for volatility is crucial for building an appropriate investment portfolio. Younger investors with longer time horizons can typically tolerate more volatility because they have time to recover from downturns. Older investors nearing retirement often prefer lower volatility investments to protect their accumulated wealth.
Volatility tends to increase during market downturns and decrease during calm bull markets. Recognizing volatility patterns can help investors make better decisions about when to buy, sell, or hold their positions.
Related Terms
- Ask Price
- Asset
- Averaging Down
- Balance Sheet
- Bear Market
- Bid Price
- Bid-Ask Spread
- Black Swan
- Blue-Chip Stock
- Bond